Mavericks vs. Kings prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, March 5 best bets from model on 71-44 run – CBSSports.com

The Sacramento Kings visit the Dallas Mavericks for a Western Conference tilt on Saturday evening. The Kings are 2-1 in the last three games, righting the ship to some degree despite a 24-41 overall record. Dallas is red-hot in 2022, improving its record to 38-25 with a 21-11 mark at home. Luka Doncic (toe) is listed as questionable for the Mavericks, with Maxi Kleber (ankle) ruled out. Richaun Holmes (back) is listed as questionable for the Kings. Caesars Sportsbook lists Dallas as a seven-point home favorite for this 5 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 225 in the latest Kings vs. Mavericks odds. Before making any Mavericks vs. Kings picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 19 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 71-44 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning more than $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.Now, the model has set its sights on Mavs vs. Kings, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Kings vs. Mavs: Kings vs. Mavericks spread: Mavericks -7Kings vs. Mavericks over-under: 225 pointsKings vs. Mavericks money line: Mavericks -320, Kings +250Sacramento: The Kings are 20-22 against the spread in conference gamesDallas: The Mavericks are 27-15 against the spread in conference games Featured Game | Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings Moneyline Spread Total DAL -190 BET NOW -4.5 -110 BET NOW o220.5 -110 BET NOW SAC +160 BET NOW +4.5 -110 BET NOW u220.5 -110 BET NOW Why the Kings can coverSacramento’s defense should benefit from a few shortcomings of Dallas. The Mavericks are second-worst in the NBA in second-chance points per game on offense, and Dallas is No. 28 in the league in points in the paint. The Mavericks are heavily reliant on a single offensive entity, and Dallas doesn’t put pressure on opponents in transition, ranking No. 26 in the NBA in fast-break points. The Kings do a very good job in avoiding fouls, allowing only 20.6 free-throw attempts per game, and that can help to swing the math toward Sacramento. On offense, the Kings are above-average overall in scoring 110.0 points per game. Sacramento also ranks in the top five of the NBA in both free-throw attempts (22.8 per game) and points in the paint (49.2 per game), illustrating impressive aggression in attacking the rim.Why the Mavericks can coverDallas is playing excellent defense in recent days, but the team’s offense is also in good shape against Sacramento. The Mavericks are in the top five of the NBA in 2-point accuracy, making 54.2 percent of attempts inside the arc. Dallas is also elite in ball security, ranking No. 3 in the NBA in committing only 12.6 turnovers per game. The Mavericks produce 1.88 assists for every turnover and, since Jan. 1, Dallas is making 36.9 percent of 3-point attempts to rank in the top six of the NBA.  Sacramento’s defense is also porous, with the Kings giving up 114.3 points per 100 possessions. That ranks in the bottom three of the NBA, and Sacramento is in the bottom five of the league in field-goal percentage allowed, 2-point percentage, 3-point percentage allowed, and second-chance points allowed. The Kings are also last in the NBA in points allowed in the paint on defense.How to make Kings vs. Mavericks picksSportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, predicting a combined 224 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.So who wins Mavs vs. Kings? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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