Warriors vs. Suns prediction, odds, line: 2021 Christmas Day NBA picks, best bets from model on 46-23 roll – CBSSports.com

The Golden State Warriors face the Phoenix Suns on Saturday in a possible preview of the Western Conference Finals. The teams have met twice this season, with the home team winning each time, and they are battling for the best record in the league as they meet in the middle game of the 2021 NBA Christmas Day schedule. The Warriors (26-6) are on the road for Christmas for the second straight season and come off a 113-104 win at home against the Grizzlies on Thursday. The Suns (26-5) defeated the Thunder 113-101 the same night, and they should be close to full strength, while the Warriors have two of their top-three scorers — Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole — in COVID protocols. Phoenix beat the Warriors 104-96 at home on Nov. 30, and Golden State won 118-96 on its floor on Dec. 3. Tipoff is set for 5 p.m ET at Footprint Center in Phoenix. Caesars Sportsbook lists Phoenix as a six-point favorite in its latest Warriors vs. Suns odds, and the over-under for total points scored is 214.5, down significantly from the opening line. Before making any Suns vs. Warriors picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 46-23 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $1,900. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.Now, the model has broken down the Warriors vs. Suns matchup from every angle and locked in its picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s Christmas Day NBA picks. Here are the NBA odds and betting lines for Suns vs. Warriors:  Warriors vs. Suns spread: Phoenix -6  Warriors vs. Suns over-under: 214.5 points Warriors vs. Suns money line: Golden State +205, Phoenix -250 GSW: Are 7-6-1 ATS on the road this season PHX: Are 9-8 ATS as a home favorite this season Featured Game | Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Moneyline Spread Total PHO -250 BET NOW -6 -110 BET NOW o215.5 -110 BET NOW GS +205 BET NOW +6 -110 BET NOW u215.5 -110 BET NOW Why the Suns can coverPhoenix is 4-0 against the spread in its last four games after allowing 100 points or more in the previous contest. The Suns allow the fourth-fewest points in the NBA (104)and score the third-most (111.8). The Warriors will be missing Wiggins (18.7 points) and Poole (17.9), who combined for 71 points in the two meetings this season. Devin Booker (23.3 points per game) and Deandre Ayton (11.3 rebounds per game) have been giving teams problems all season. The Suns also have the league’s assist leader in Chris Paul (9.9 per game). Phoenix also is one of the league’s best shooting teams, hitting 47.7 percent from the field (second in NBA) while holding opponents to 43.3 (third). Opponents also hit 33.1 percent from 3-point range (fifth), and the Suns held Steph Curry to three-of-14 shooting from outside in their home win last month. Ayton scored 23 in that game and averages 17 points as one of eight players who score in double figures. The 6-foot-11 center is a matchup problem, as the Warriors also will need Draymond Green to help with Booker, who missed the loss at Golden State.   Why the Warriors can coverGolden State is 10-1 against the spread in its last 11 against a team with a winning percentage above .600. It has the most prolific 3-point shooter in league history in Curry, and Green is one of the league’s best defensive players. The Warriors have won no matter who else is on the floor, thanks in large part to Curry. He scored 46 in Thursday’s victory, hitting eight of his 14 3-point tries. He averages 27.7 points and hits 5.4 threes per game, almost two more than any other player in the league. He makes more than 40 percent of his 3-point attempts. Green had six steals in the 118-96 win against the Suns three weeks ago, and he blocked three shots and had two steals and nine assists in Thursday’s win. He will work hard to keep Ayton off balance, and he should get help from Otto Porter Jr. and Juan Toscano-Anderson. Gary Payton II and Toscano-Anderson combined for 36 points in the Dec. 3 matchup with Phoenix. Payton has stepped up in recent games, scoring in double figures in three straight, with 22 in Thursday’s win. Golden State allows 101 points per game, the fewest in the NBA, and scores 111.5 (fourth).How to make Warriors vs. Suns picksSportsLine’s model is leaning under on the point total, with the model suggesting the teams will barely eclipse 210 points. It also says one side of the spread is hitting nearly 70 percent of the time. You can only get the model’s Suns vs. Warriors pick at SportsLine. So who wins the Christmas Day Suns vs. Warriors matchup? And which side of the spread is hitting almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of Warriors vs. Suns to back on Christmas Day, all from the advanced model on a 46-23 run on its top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

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